Key Indicators

Updated:

Output and productivity

Contributions to real GDP growth

percentage points, seasonally adjusted annualized rate
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Labor productivity growth, nonfarm businesses

output per hour worked, quarterly percent change at annual rate
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Prices and interest rates

Consumer price index inflation

12-month growth, percent, core excludes food and energy, seasonally adjusted
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Contributions to CPI inflation

share of 12-month growth, all-item CPI, percentage points, not seasonally adjusted
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Source: Author's calculations from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data

U.S. treasury bond yield

annual yield on constant maturity bond index, by duration, percent
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Source: U.S. Treasury Department

Oil price

USD per barrel, front month contract for WTI crude
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Source: Quandl

Investment and market volatility

New orders, nondefense capital goods ex aircraft

percent change over previous month, seasonally adjusted
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Source: U.S. Census Bureau, M3

CBOE volatility index (VIX), U.S. equities

index
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Source: CBOE

Labor market

Employed share of age 25-54 population

employed share of non-institutionalized civilians age 25-54, 12-month moving average
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Source: Author's calculations from Current Population Survey microdata

Median weekly pay, full-time workers

Median usual weekly earnings, current U.S. Dollars, adjusted by CPI-U, 12-month moving average
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Source: Author's calculations from Current Population Survey microdata

Net jobs added

one-month change in nonfarm payrolls, thousands of workers
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Unemployment by reason

percentage point share of labor force by reason for unemployment
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Trade and exchange rates

Trade balance

balance on goods and services as a percent of GDP
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Source: Author's calculations from BEA and Census data

Trade-weighted dollar

broad index of USD exchange rates, January 1997=100
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Source: U.S. Federal Reserve System

Thanks to Gabriel Mathy and Iordan Koulov for particularly helpful feedback on earlier versions of this project. Plots on this page are made using Bokeh.